New Year's Resolution Success Odds Calculator
Only a fraction of resolutions survive past February. Answer a few quick questions about your goal and habits to get a for-fun success score — and tips baked into the math to help you beat the odds.
About this calculator
A fun, evidence-inspired estimator that scores your odds of sticking with your New Year's resolution based on goal type, past track record, support system, and specificity.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is this a scientifically validated prediction?
No. This is a for-fun estimator inspired by general research trends on habit formation and goal-setting — it's meant to spark reflection, not predict your actual future.
What actually improves resolution success?
Research generally points to specific measurable goals, accountability, and starting with small consistent actions rather than all-or-nothing overhauls.
Why does having tried before lower my score?
Repeated past attempts at the same resolution can indicate the approach needs to change, so we apply a small penalty to encourage trying a new strategy.