New Year's Resolution Success Odds Calculator

Only a small fraction of resolutions survive past February. This calculator (purely for entertainment) scores your odds of success based on factors research links to habit formation — how specific your goal is, whether you have accountability, and your track record. Answer honestly and see where you land.

Estimated Success Odds
Points from Goal Specificity
Points from Accountability
Points from Past Track Record
Points from Motivation

About this calculator

A lighthearted, for-entertainment-only estimate of your odds of sticking with your New Year's resolution based on habit science factors like specificity, support, and past track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is this scientifically accurate?

No — this is a fun, entertainment-only estimate inspired by general habit-formation research, not a validated psychological prediction tool.

What actually improves resolution success in real life?

Studies generally point to specific measurable goals, public accountability, and starting small as the biggest factors in sticking with new habits.

Can I retake this later in the year?

Sure — motivation and accountability can change, so your odds might shift as circumstances do.